Session 90:
New methodological approaches to demographic forecasts and projections

Friday, June 27
4:00 PM - 5:30 PM
Lecture Room 328
3rd floor

Chair: Nico Keilman, University of Oslo

  1. The sensitivity analysis of population projectionsHal Caswell, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Nora Sánchez Gassen, University of Southampton

  2. Sub national population projection: how to deal with heterogeneity?Samir K.C., Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU); Markus Speringer, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU)

  3. Forecasting age patterns of international migration: adapting and extending the Lee-Carter Model to different data types and time seriesJames Raymer, Australian National University; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton

  4. Dynamic forecast of irregular mortality developments within a Bayesian frameworkChristina Bohk, University of Rostock; Roland Rau, University of Rostock

  5. Incorporating model uncertainty into fertility schedule estimates for population forecastingJonathan Forster, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Peter W. F. Smith, University of Southampton

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